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Red34
482818.0
789018.6
68948.7
Blue33
265513.9
429016.3
493511.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801003433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.3
19.118.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.9
red by 2.3
16.30.3
16.616.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
18.00.3
18.518.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End5.3
red by 4.1
2655
#16
13.90.3
14.213.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
6894
#20
8.70.3
9.28.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End2.0
blue by 2.5
4935
#18
11.20.3
11.511.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5