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Red71
650221.0
90019.2
122510.1
Blue42
519017.4
153323.5
56796.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515230406070807142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.4
20.621.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End0.7
blue by 2.5
23.50.2
23.823.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Second
900
#2
19.20.4
18.719.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End9.8
red by 1.8
17.40.2
17.617.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
Third
1225
#27
10.10.4
9.610.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 3.4
5679
#22
6.70.2
6.96.7
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End4.0