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Red18
69082.8
429016.3
56796.7
Blue49
789018.6
319615.2
482818.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25390102030506070801849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.8
12.912.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
blue by 2.3
18.61.6
15.216.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.9
Second
5679
#22
6.70.8
10.59.7
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End4.0
blue by 11.3
18.01.6
13.715.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Third
6908
#21
2.80.5
2.11.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.0
blue by 12.4
3196
#17
15.21.6
5.97.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned