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Red38
68948.7
572723.7
264010.0
Blue28
551115.1
493511.2
66394.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060803828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
22.722.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
red by 8.6
5511
#12
15.10.2
10.610.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Second
2640
#10
10.00.4
10.710.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End6.2
blue by 1.2
4935
#18
11.20.3
11.911.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5
Third
6894
#20
8.70.4
8.07.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End2.0
red by 3.8
6639
#26
4.90.3
8.58.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed