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Red34
80304.3
688813.0
519017.4
Blue55
551810.0
345911.9
153323.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2941010205060703455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.6
12.012.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
blue by 6.1
23.52.0
15.918.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Second
6888
#14
13.00.6
14.915.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End5.1
red by 1.1
3459
#25
11.92.0
8.110.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.8
Third
8030
#28
4.30.6
1.72.3
Auto0.3
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 5.7
5518
#11
10.02.0
12.714.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed