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Red23
56796.7
872712.9
38223.5
Blue37
88338.0
519017.4
90019.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2238010305060702337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#23
12.90.1
7.67.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End6.8
blue by 6.3
900
#2
19.20.3
14.815.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End9.8
Second
5679
#22
6.70.1
9.79.7
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End4.0
blue by 10.7
17.40.3
12.613.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
Third
3822
#29
3.50.1
5.35.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End-0.3
blue by 4.6
8833
#24
8.00.3
6.56.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned