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Red70
69082.8
153323.5
572723.7
Blue21
493511.2
551810.0
122510.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47381020306070807021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.5
21.122.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
red by 12.5
4935
#18
11.21.7
11.710.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5
Second
23.52.6
20.122.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 13.4
1225
#27
10.11.7
8.87.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Third
6908
#21
2.81.5
1.63.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5518
#11
10.01.7
16.214.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed