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Red72
58715.8
319615.2
650221.0
Blue19
66394.9
429016.3
693214.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432701020506070807219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.02.8
16.219.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End0.7
red by 4.8
16.30.9
11.010.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
587
#19
15.82.8
13.716.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End7.6
red by 1.0
6932
#13
14.80.9
10.69.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End2.9
Third
3196
#17
15.22.8
8.811.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End6.2
red by 10.3
6639
#26
4.90.9
6.05.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed