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Red52
90019.2
345911.9
265513.9
Blue51
551115.1
789018.6
350615.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354302060801005251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
19.22.0
15.117.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End9.8
red by 0.6
18.60.8
16.817.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.9
Second
2655
#16
13.92.0
11.213.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.8
blue by 1.7
3506
#15
15.50.8
10.911.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Third
3459
#25
11.92.0
7.99.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.8
blue by 3.3
5511
#12
15.10.5
11.712.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed