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Red19
264216.7
872712.9
80304.3
Blue52
264010.0
519017.4
56796.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2535010203040506070801952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.4
13.713.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End6.5
blue by 0.7
17.42.2
13.015.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
Second
8727
#23
12.90.7
7.67.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End6.8
red by 2.9
2640
#10
10.02.2
9.211.4
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End6.2
Third
8030
#28
4.30.7
3.62.9
Auto0.3
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 2.4
5679
#22
6.72.2
9.712.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsEarned