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Red104
453425.0
456130.5
264230.9
Blue74
744321.4
429019.7
319622.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80644010012010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.8
24.025.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.3
End11.0
red by 8.1
22.80.8
23.023.8
Auto7.7
Teleop5.2
End9.9
Second
30.51.8
25.727.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End9.6
red by 9.2
7443
#24
21.40.8
20.321.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Third
4534
#13
25.01.8
23.124.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.9
End10.8
red by 5.3
4290
#19
19.70.8
18.919.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed