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Red46
789020.6
551120.7
87577.2
Blue40
322923.3
87465.0
482825.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535702040801001204640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5511
#12
20.70.6
19.919.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End3.6
blue by 4.7
4828
#11
25.40.8
26.826.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.7
End6.4
Second
7890
#23
20.60.6
22.321.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End6.5
blue by 2.7
3229
#28
23.30.8
18.317.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End3.5
Third
8757
#30
7.20.6
8.17.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.2
End3.0
red by 2.2
8746
#31
5.00.8
7.66.7
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed