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Red102
83049.4
153343.9
350634.4
Blue79
551120.7
205917.8
322923.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975720408012014016010279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.8
43.344.1
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
red by 20.6
3229
#28
23.31.4
21.122.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End3.5
Second
34.40.8
34.034.8
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End5.6
red by 13.7
5511
#12
20.71.4
20.521.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Third
8304
#26
9.40.8
8.69.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End4.3
blue by 8.4
2059
#17
17.81.4
17.018.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed