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Red46
87465.0
429019.7
650227.8
Blue60
863414.7
58735.4
560713.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57712040801001204660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#15
27.80.9
28.928.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End2.3
blue by 7.5
587
#1
35.40.3
35.935.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.1
End12.0
Second
4290
#19
19.70.9
20.819.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.5
red by 5.0
8634
#21
14.70.3
15.214.9
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.5
End12.7
Third
8746
#31
5.00.9
5.95.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End1.1
blue by 8.7
5607
#27
13.70.3
14.013.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned