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Qual 642022 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red114
872729.4
90027.3
482937.9
Blue110
264230.9
482825.4
479542.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710450150200114110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#2
37.91.2
37.3→38.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End12.1
blue by 4.1
4795
#7
42.10.6
42.0→42.6
Auto11.0
Teleop24.7
End6.3
Second
8727
#10
29.41.2
28.7→29.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End10.5
blue by 1.5
2642
#4
30.90.6
29.5→30.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.3
End11.0
Third
900
#18
27.31.2
26.3→27.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End11.7
red by 1.8
4828
#11
25.40.6
25.2→25.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned