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Red12
57623.5
42919.3
87383.2
Blue2
60043.2
55116.3
48163.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22210406080100122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.31.4
8.36.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End2.5
red by 3.0
5511
#21
6.31.9
9.67.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.3
Second
5762
#17
3.51.4
6.95.5
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End1.2
blue by 0.1
4816
#26
3.61.9
3.71.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Third
8738
#27
3.21.4
5.44.0
Auto0.6
Teleop1.5
End1.0
Level
6004
#33
3.21.9
6.24.3
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed