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Red28
453412.3
373710.3
32299.0
Blue12
83048.0
69082.8
82054.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311601020405060702812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#13
12.30.4
10.09.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End7.6
red by 4.3
8.00.6
3.73.1
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End4.5
Second
3737
#10
10.30.4
10.29.9
Auto1.4
Teleop7.0
End2.0
red by 5.4
8205
#25
4.90.6
4.94.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
Third
9.00.4
7.16.7
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.5
red by 6.2
6908
#29
2.80.6
8.68.1
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed