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Red6
69082.8
33367.9
55116.3
Blue6
80904.6
57623.5
264211.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37290102050607066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 4.0
11.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End4.8
Second
5511
#21
6.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.3
red by 1.8
8090
#18
4.6
Auto1.3
Teleop0.2
End3.0
Third
6908
#29
2.8
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End0.9
blue by 0.6
5762
#17DQ
3.5
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed