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Red12
65652.0
479520.9
87583.3
Blue11
65126.0
32299.0
77150.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302501020405060701211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.7
11.69.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End5.7
red by 11.9
9.01.5
10.08.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.5
Second
8758
#30DQ
3.31.1
7.56.4
Auto1.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
blue by 2.7
6512
#14
6.01.5
7.96.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.4
Third
6565
#20
2.01.7
8.06.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
red by 1.3
7715
#19DQ
0.71.5
6.44.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed