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Red44
86349.3
57623.5
83048.0
Blue5
82054.9
62401.5
65126.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1611020304050445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.31.5
5.87.3
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.1
End7.5
red by 3.3
6512
#14
6.00.7
3.83.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.4
Second
8.01.5
3.14.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End4.5
red by 3.1
8205
#25
4.90.7
4.33.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
Third
5762
#17
3.51.5
5.57.0
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End1.2
red by 1.9
6240
#31
1.50.7
3.12.4
Auto0.3
Teleop0.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed