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Red14
264211.9
87383.2
33367.9
Blue19
77150.7
373710.3
69082.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25200103040501419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.91.0
9.78.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End4.8
red by 1.6
3737
#10
10.30.5
9.99.4
Auto1.4
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Second
7.91.0
9.48.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 5.0
6908
#29
2.80.5
8.17.6
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End0.9
Third
8738
#27
3.21.0
4.03.0
Auto0.6
Teleop1.5
End1.0
red by 2.5
7715
#19
0.70.5
1.40.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed