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Red20
86349.3
453412.3
65126.0
Blue17
88042.6
479520.9
51604.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212404060801002017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#13
12.30.5
9.99.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End7.6
blue by 8.6
20.90.6
11.711.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End5.7
Second
9.30.5
7.36.9
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.1
End7.5
red by 4.6
5160
#23
4.80.6
7.97.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Third
6512
#14
6.00.5
3.12.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.4
red by 3.3
8804
#28
2.60.6
2.82.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed