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Red39
48163.6
82054.9
650019.6
Blue24
456116.4
62401.5
87463.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2020051015253035403924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.61.4
13.414.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End11.6
red by 3.2
16.40.6
11.912.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End7.4
Second
8205
#25
4.91.4
3.65.0
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
red by 1.1
8746
#22
3.70.6
4.65.2
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Third
4816
#26
3.61.4
1.22.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
red by 2.1
6240
#31
1.50.6
2.43.0
Auto0.3
Teleop0.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed