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Red8
57623.5
4354.6
60043.2
Blue30
83048.0
33367.9
373710.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162501020304050607080830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#11
4.60.9
5.64.7
Auto0.7
Teleop3.2
End0.8
blue by 5.7
3737
#10
10.30.8
9.410.2
Auto1.4
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Second
5762
#17
3.50.9
7.06.1
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End1.2
blue by 4.5
8.00.8
4.65.5
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End4.5
Third
6004
#33
3.20.9
3.52.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End1.0
blue by 4.7
7.90.8
8.49.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed