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Red15
69082.8
42919.3
84296.2
Blue13
65652.0
48163.6
65126.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24601020304050601513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.30.5
5.95.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End2.5
red by 3.4
6512
#14
6.00.3
2.72.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.4
Second
8429
#16
6.20.5
6.45.8
Auto2.9
Teleop0.2
End3.1
red by 2.6
4816
#26
3.60.3
2.62.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Third
6908
#29
2.80.5
7.67.0
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End0.9
red by 0.8
6565
#20
2.00.3
2.52.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed