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Red20
77150.7
86349.3
88042.6
Blue12
87583.3
76715.9
82054.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10120203040506070802012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.31.1
6.98.0
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.1
End7.5
red by 3.4
7671
#15
5.90.1
4.24.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Second
8804
#28
2.61.1
2.23.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
blue by 2.2
8205
#25
4.90.1
5.05.1
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
Third
7715
#19
0.71.1
0.92.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
blue by 2.6
8758
#30
3.30.1
2.02.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed