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Red110
153334.9
479536.4
875712.5
Blue48
650227.2
789027.5
56074.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896120408010012014016011048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.7
35.235.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.2
End6.3
red by 8.9
27.50.3
27.927.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End6.3
Second
34.90.7
33.634.3
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 7.7
6502
#14
27.20.3
27.627.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Third
8757
#13
12.50.7
11.211.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
red by 7.7
5607
#26
4.80.3
5.24.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End0.3