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Red110
153334.9
479536.4
875712.5
Blue56
650227.2
789027.5
56074.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925920408010012014016011056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.6
35.836.4
Auto9.0
Teleop21.2
End6.3
red by 8.9
27.50.1
27.627.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End6.3
Second
34.90.6
34.334.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 7.7
6502
#14
27.20.1
27.327.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Third
8757
#13
12.50.6
11.912.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
red by 7.7
5607
#26
4.80.1
4.94.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End0.3