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Red54
205915.2
482917.4
429110.1
Blue74
519022.0
84297.7
58729.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801001205474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#15
17.40.7
17.117.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End9.4
blue by 12.2
587
#6
29.60.7
27.428.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End10.2
Second
2059
#23
15.20.5
15.415.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End6.1
blue by 6.8
22.00.7
21.722.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End7.0
Third
4291
#17
10.10.5
9.510.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.2
red by 2.4
8429
#22
7.70.7
6.06.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsEarned