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Red22
87464.3
744317.2
56074.8
Blue75
76719.1
479536.4
66395.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27530204060801001202275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7443
#18
17.20.6
19.318.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End5.3
blue by 19.2
36.41.9
33.435.4
Auto9.0
Teleop21.2
End6.3
Second
5607
#26
4.80.5
4.84.3
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 4.3
7671
#20
9.11.9
8.09.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End1.4
Third
8746
#28
4.30.4
4.13.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End2.8
blue by 1.3
6639
#31
5.71.9
4.66.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsEarned