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Red31
88045.4
48165.9
373722.2
Blue4
87587.5
87579.0
36618.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19240406080100314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.9
12.213.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End8.8
red by 13.2
8757
#32
9.01.2
12.311.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.6
Second
4816
#27
5.90.9
3.44.3
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 2.5
3661
#15
8.42.0
6.14.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End3.3
Third
8804
#20
5.40.9
2.63.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End1.6
blue by 2.1
8758
#26
7.51.2
3.72.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
4%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed