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Red68
482928.8
65124.7
319616.5
Blue40
453419.0
482824.7
820510.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47402030607080906840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.1
20.321.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End11.5
red by 4.1
24.70.1
19.019.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
3196
#13
16.51.1
17.418.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End6.6
blue by 2.4
4534
#11
19.00.1
12.012.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End11.2
Third
6512
#33
4.71.1
5.06.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End0.3
blue by 6.1
8205
#29
10.80.1
7.17.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsMissed