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Red14
36618.4
12258.9
493513.3
Blue56
872721.6
373722.2
820510.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313015202535404550551456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#18
13.31.0
11.210.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End6.3
blue by 8.9
22.21.9
10.312.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End8.8
Second
1225
#19
8.91.0
10.19.1
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 12.7
21.61.9
12.914.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End9.7
Third
3661
#15
8.41.7
7.86.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End3.3
blue by 2.4
8205
#29
10.81.9
4.96.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsEarned