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Red47
744322.2
482824.7
322915.6
Blue81
560712.4
482928.8
350628.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48391020306070804781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.2
18.018.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End6.1
blue by 4.1
28.82.9
17.420.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End11.5
Second
22.20.2
17.217.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.8
End4.0
blue by 5.9
28.12.6
15.518.2
Auto7.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
3229
#16
15.60.2
9.09.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
red by 3.2
5607
#14
12.42.6
4.87.4
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned