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Red60
820510.8
350628.1
322915.6
Blue41
4356.8
688819.1
429022.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57492040801006041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.5
29.329.8
Auto7.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
red by 5.3
4290
#10
22.90.4
21.320.9
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End4.9
Second
3229
#16
15.60.5
14.514.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
blue by 3.4
19.10.4
19.619.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End6.0
Third
8205
#29
10.80.5
9.09.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.4
red by 4.0
435
#30
6.80.4
6.46.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed