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Red10
87579.0
65654.5
60047.0
Blue64
482928.8
57626.5
693214.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185504060801001064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8757
#32
9.00.8
8.37.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.6
blue by 19.8
28.81.1
28.329.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End11.5
Second
6004
#17
7.00.8
7.97.2
Auto4.2
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 7.6
6932
#21
14.61.1
13.114.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End3.8
Third
6565
#28
4.50.8
5.34.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 2.0
5762
#22
6.51.1
5.46.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned