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Red66
479530.6
373715.1
322918.9
Blue38
350622.5
650220.5
99990.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89670204060801001201401606638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.8
35.233.4
Auto10.7
Teleop16.9
End3.0
red by 8.0
3506
#13
22.52.6
34.431.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Second
3229
#12
18.91.8
23.321.5
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 1.6
6502
#11
20.52.6
26.423.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Third
15.11.8
22.520.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End8.3
red by 14.6
9999
#26
0.44.4
8.94.5
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.4
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsMissed70%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed