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Red75
482819.3
482939.2
551115.0
Blue11
5160-1.0
453415.5
744320.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914702060801001201401607511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.3
37.136.8
Auto12.7
Teleop17.5
End9.1
red by 18.5
20.82.6
21.418.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End4.1
Second
19.30.3
23.323.0
Auto8.7
Teleop5.7
End4.9
red by 3.9
4534
#22
15.52.6
22.920.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End7.3
Third
5511
#10
15.00.3
19.318.9
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End3.5
red by 15.9
5160
#25
-1.02.6
5.02.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop-0.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed