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Red95
288330.5
472832.6
265418.8
Blue55
453923.3
363025.5
467417.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86674060801001201409555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.3
31.631.9
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End11.0
red by 7.1
25.50.3
25.225.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End6.1
Second
2883
#11
30.50.3
29.329.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End9.2
red by 7.2
4539
#18
23.30.3
23.122.8
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Third
2654
#20
18.80.3
17.517.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.1
End6.7
red by 1.3
4674
#26
17.40.2
17.217.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End12.2