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Red52
329319.4
460730.7
818811.8
Blue61
313020.6
565323.9
305812.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65644050607080905261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.2
30.330.1
Auto10.9
Teleop9.9
End9.9
red by 6.8
23.90.2
24.824.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End11.1
Second
3293
#38
19.40.3
18.818.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End5.3
blue by 1.2
3130
#15
20.60.2
21.721.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
Third
8188
#29
11.80.2
11.311.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.9
blue by 0.6
3058
#37
12.40.2
13.413.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.6