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Red40
88879.4
329723.1
818811.8
Blue44
253119.0
313020.6
327517.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35530204060804044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.4
14.414.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End8.9
red by 2.6
3130
#15
20.60.8
15.314.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
Second
8188
#29
11.80.5
10.410.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.9
blue by 7.1
2531
#31
19.00.6
17.316.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End8.5
Third
8887
#22
9.40.5
10.310.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End4.0
blue by 8.3
3275
#10
17.80.6
15.014.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed