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Red75
250817.4
702833.8
460730.7
Blue60
591338.4
330011.4
72358.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54583040507080907560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.82.6
15.117.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
blue by 4.6
38.40.2
32.933.1
Auto12.0
Teleop17.9
End8.4
Second
30.71.9
24.526.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.9
End9.9
red by 19.3
3300
#44
11.40.2
10.911.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End5.3
Third
2508
#17
17.42.6
11.514.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End12.2
red by 8.8
7235
#43
8.60.2
10.010.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsEarned