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Red71
591338.4
565323.9
703810.2
Blue64
329723.1
313421.5
423816.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774420601001207164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.1
35.135.0
Auto12.0
Teleop17.9
End8.4
red by 15.2
23.10.7
15.115.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End8.9
Second
23.90.1
21.621.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End11.1
red by 2.4
3134
#12
21.50.7
20.421.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End10.3
Third
7038
#25
10.20.2
11.711.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End4.0
blue by 5.9
4238
#30
16.10.7
10.411.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned