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Red26
32988.1
56589.8
253119.0
Blue70
842217.4
467417.4
313020.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32520204060802670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#31
19.00.4
18.017.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End8.5
blue by 1.6
3130
#15
20.62.7
17.219.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
Second
5658
#41
9.80.7
6.25.4
Auto1.1
Teleop5.1
End3.6
blue by 7.7
4674
#26
17.41.6
15.717.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End12.2
Third
3298
#45
8.10.4
8.48.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.1
blue by 9.3
8422
#14
17.42.7
13.015.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned