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Red40
288330.5
66285.5
253812.7
Blue19
8586-0.0
617517.4
59292.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522304060804019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#11
30.51.0
24.423.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End9.2
red by 13.1
6175
#34
17.42.0
16.114.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End10.1
Second
2538
#36
12.71.0
12.811.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End7.8
red by 10.3
5929
#48
2.42.0
6.14.0
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End-0.4
Third
6628
#46
5.51.0
8.17.0
Auto4.9
Teleop2.0
End-1.4
red by 5.5
8586
#49
-0.02.0
3.11.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop-1.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed