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Red60
767715.5
329319.4
329723.1
Blue49
702833.8
72358.6
467417.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3637303540455055606049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.12.3
12.114.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End8.9
blue by 10.6
33.81.6
13.615.1
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
Second
3293
#38
19.42.9
13.616.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End5.3
red by 2.0
4674
#26
17.41.2
13.014.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End12.2
Third
7677
#16
15.52.9
8.611.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 6.8
7235
#43
8.61.6
8.410.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed