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Red60
331312.8
313020.6
472832.6
Blue61
66285.5
363025.5
87635.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48582040801006061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.61.2
20.421.6
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End11.0
blue by 2.5
876
#3
35.10.0
29.029.0
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End12.0
Second
3130
#15
20.61.6
13.715.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
blue by 4.9
25.50.0
13.313.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End6.1
Third
3313
#24
12.81.6
11.813.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 7.3
6628
#46
5.50.0
10.510.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.0
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsMissed