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Red53
453923.3
327716.4
436019.7
Blue43
329319.4
448018.4
818811.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44453035405055605343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#18
23.31.3
17.819.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 3.9
3293
#38
19.40.4
18.217.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End5.3
Second
4360
#19
19.71.3
9.410.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End11.0
red by 1.3
4480
#21
18.40.4
13.112.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End8.3
Third
3277
#33
16.41.3
13.815.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End4.0
red by 4.6
8188
#29
11.80.4
11.010.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed