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Red70
785815.5
363025.5
460730.7
Blue28
767715.5
423912.9
88879.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67412060801001207028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.1
26.025.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.9
End9.9
red by 15.2
7677
#16
15.52.0
16.514.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
25.50.2
20.820.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End6.1
red by 12.5
4239
#39DQ
12.91.2
12.611.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End4.8
Third
7858
#27
15.50.2
12.812.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End3.8
red by 6.0
8887
#22
9.42.0
12.810.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed