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Red59
448018.4
825516.3
785815.5
Blue85
617517.4
329723.1
472832.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662020801005985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4480
#21
18.41.5
12.714.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End8.3
blue by 14.2
32.62.0
25.227.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End11.0
Second
8255
#28
16.31.5
11.713.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End5.2
blue by 6.9
23.12.0
15.817.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End8.9
Third
7858
#27
15.51.5
12.614.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End3.8
blue by 1.9
6175
#34
17.43.3
14.117.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned